Brace up for drought year as monsoon is going to be ‘below normal’ to ‘deficient’

Country’s grain-bowl areas going to be hit badly, worries of food inflation rise

GN Bureau | June 2, 2015


#monsoon   #drought   #food inflation   #agriculture   #power   #rice   #wheat   #delhi   #haryana   #western uttar pradesh and rajasthan  


India's northwest region which includes Delhi, Haryana, Western Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan are going to be affected by ‘below normal’ to ‘deficient’ monsoon.  The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has revised its monsoon rainfall forecast from 93 to 88% and this means the annual rainy season will be below normal to deficient.

Rainfall of less than 90% is considered to be a drought year. The latest prediction, however, has an error margin of 4 percentage points either way. The monsoon is now expected to hit the Kerala coast by the June 4, three days after its normal onset date.

Read More: Indian monsoon is set to remain moody. How do we tackle it?

Last year, the country had received 12 per cent less rains, which hit production of grains, cotton and oilseeds. According to the Met department this year drier conditions are set to be more acute in the grain-bowl northwest and central India, compared to the south and northeast. Drought-like conditions fan food prices, often worsening shortages of items such as pulses, onions and cooking oil.

The government has stock of rice, wheat and sugar but it has limited means to control prices of fruits and vegetables.

Agriculture is heavily dependent on the monsoon as only 40 per cent of the cultivable area is under irrigation. Agriculture growth stood at 0.2 per cent in 2014-15 fiscal. According to the government's estimate, total food grains production has declined to 251.12 million tonnes in 2014-15 crop year (July-June) from a record production of 265.04 million tonnes in 2014.

A poor monsoon could mean the Modi government would have to concentrate on mitigating its effects rather than focusing on reforms.

The rainfall is crucial for power, drinking and irrigation. A bad monsoon hits power production since hydropower accounts for a quarter of India’s electricity output.

Comments

 

Other News

Manmohan Singh favours ‘time-tested measures’ for economy

The much hyped ‘double engine’ model of governance on which the BJP is seeking votes has utterly failed, and Mumbai and Maharashtra have had to face some of the worst effects of economic slowdown, former prime minister Manmohan Singh has said. A lot of problems facing Maharashtra

“If the oppn is weak you can’t blame the govt for that”

A three-term Rajya Sabha member, Sanjay Raut is the Shiv Sena spokesperson and its voice in parliament. He is also the executive editor of Marathi newspaper Samana, started by Shiv Sena founder Bal Thackeray. Raut spoke with Geetanjali Minhas on his party’s seat-sharing agreement

Ashish Shelar of BJP says, “We are very confident of victory”

Ashish Shelar, 47, was the president of the Mumbai city unit of the BJP, before he became the minister of school education, sports and youth welfare in the Maharashta government this year. He has represented the Vandre West constituency in the state assembly and seeking re-election. In a chat with

Nobel for economics goes to `global fight against poverty`

The Nobel Prize in economics for 2019 goes to Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer "for their experimental approach to alleviating global poverty." The prize, known as “The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel”, was announc

Modi-Xi script a new chapter in bilateral relations

Prime minister Narendra Modi has accepted president Xi Jinping’s invitation to visit China in 2020 for their third informal summit after Wuhan and Mamallapuram, indicating both sides’ realization of the importance of the mechanism which gives the two leaders of the Asian giants an opportunity t

Dharma as the original Idea of India

Dharma: Hinduism and Religions in India By Chaturvedi Badrinath Edited by Tulsi Badrinath Penguin, 194+ xiii pages, Rs 499 How to live: That is the most fundamental question of human existence.



Archives

Current Issue

Video

CM Nitish’s convoy attacked in Buxar

Opinion

Facebook    Twitter    Google Plus    Linkedin    Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter