Slow growth thing of past for India: WB

But also warns about "fragile and uncertain" economic recovery

trithesh

Trithesh Nandan | January 16, 2013


World Bank
World Bank

The sluggish growth rate of India’s economy in the last one year will be a thing of past, says the World Bank which expects it to post 6.8 and 7 percent growth by 2014 and 2015 respectively and inch closer to the growth rate of China. However, the bank in the ‘Global Economic Prospects (GEP)’ report expects India to grow at 6.1 percent in the financial year 2013.

The report, released on Wednesday, says India’s improved growth will let it to catch up with its immediate neighbour China in two years. “In 2015, China will grow at 7.9 percent while India will grow at 7 percent,” it notes.

"We do expect India to inch closer to China and for a very, very good reason -- not an analysis of what's happened over the last one year or two years, but a bit of a sweep of history," said Kaushik Basu, chief economist of the World Bank.

But the World Bank has also asked India to safeguard the economic growth. "The economic recovery remains fragile and uncertain, clouding the prospect for rapid improvement and a return to more robust economic growth," said World Bank group president Jim Yong Kim.

The report also says India will conduct general elections in 2014 but warns, “Although governments across the region have committed to tackling their large subsidy burdens and fiscal deficits, such efforts could get side-tracked by spending pressures, especially with elections scheduled in several countries in the next two years.”

Despite a few dangers, in the next two years, the South Asian region will boost growth prospects. The Washington DC-based organisation said the improvement in growth prospect will be driven by policy reforms in India, stronger investment activity, normal agricultural production and improvement in export demand.

However, the 178-page report mentions that to regain pre-crisis growth rates the developing nations will need to focus on productivity-enhancing domestic policies rather than demand stimulus.

The World Bank estimates global GDP grew 2.3 percent in 2012, compared with last June’s expectation of 2.5 percent. “Growth is expected to remain broadly unchanged at 2.4 percent growth in 2013, before gradually strengthening to 3.1 percent in 2014 and 3.31 percent in 2015,” according to the report.

Read the report

Comments

 

Other News

When Nandini Satpathy told Biju Patnaik: ‘I’ll sit on the chair you are sitting on’

Nandini Satpathy: The Iron Lady of Orissa By Pallavi Rebbapragada Simon and Schuster India, 321 pages, Rs 765

Elections 2024: 1,351 candidates in fray for Phase 3

As many as 1,351 candidates from 12 states /UTs are contesting elections in Phase 3 of Lok Sabha Elections 2024. The number includes eight contesting candidates for the adjourned poll in 29-Betul (ST) PC of Madhya Pradesh. Additionally, one candidate from Surat PC in Gujarat has been elected unopp

2023-24 net direct tax collections exceed budget estimates by 7.40%

The provisional figures of direct tax collections for the financial year 2023-24 show that net collections are at Rs. 19.58 lakh crore, 17.70% more than Rs. 16.64 lakh crore in 2022-23. The Budget Estimates (BE) for Direct Tax revenue in the Union Budget for FY 2023-24 were fixed at Rs. 18.

‘World’s biggest festival of democracy’ begins

The much-awaited General Elections of 2024, billed as the world’s biggest festival of democracy, began on Friday with Phase 1 of polling in 102 Parliamentary Constituencies (the highest among all seven phases) in 21 States/ UTs and 92 Assembly Constituencies in the State Assembly Elections in Arunach

A sustainability warrior’s heartfelt stories of life’s fleeting moments

Fit In, Stand Out, Walk: Stories from a Pushed Away Hill By Shailini Sheth Amin Notion Press, Rs 399

What EU’s AI Act means for the world

The recent European Union (EU) policy on artificial intelligence (AI) will be a game-changer and likely to become the de-facto standard not only for the conduct of businesses but also for the way consumers think about AI tools. Governments across the globe have been grappling with the rapid rise of AI tool

Visionary Talk: Amitabh Gupta, Pune Police Commissioner with Kailashnath Adhikari, MD, Governance Now


Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter