SP has slight edge over BJP in UP, shows survey -Governance Now

SP has slight edge over BJP in UP, shows survey

There is a possibility of a hung assembly in UP, which has 403 assembly seats

GN Bureau | August 23, 2016

#Uttar Pradesh #BJP #SP #UP elections #elections #Samajwadi Party

While the Samajwadi Party (SP) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will fight a fierce battle in the upcoming elections in Uttar Pradesh, the Congress will not be in contention, showed an opinion poll conducted by ABP News-Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS).

The survey stated that 30 percent of the voters said they would vote for the SP if the assembly elections were held right now. The BJP along with its two small allies, Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel faction) and Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party, is preferred by 27 percent of the voters, followed by the BSP at 26 percent.

Incidentally, the Congress, is nowhere in the race with a mere 5 percent voters opting for it in the survey.

According to the poll, SP may win between 141-151 seats. The BJP is likely to bag 124-134 seats. BSP 103-113, the Congress 8-14, while others may get 6-12 seats.

Comparing it with the 2012 assembly election, it was clear that the BJP was the biggest gainer in terms of votes with an 11 percentage point swing towards it. However when compared with the 2014 Lok Sabha election, it is down by a massive 16 points, abplive.in reported.

The survey shows that the BJP is unable to retain the support of about 40 percent of the voters who had voted for it in the general election, and many of these are Jatavs and Yadavs. Nearly three-fourths of Jatavs are now supporting Mayawati’s party as opposed to two-thirds in 2014. Among non-Jatav Dalits, BSP’s recovery is even more impressive with 56 percent voting for the party, which is almost a two-fold increase since 2014, it added.

The SP also seems to have recovered its hold among its core voters – Yadavs and Muslims. The party is doing much better among both communities with the 68 percent of the former and 62 percent of the latter indicating support.

The survey found that at the moment the BJP is ahead of others in the Western and Eastern parts of the state. The Samajwadi Party is doing well in the Awadh and Rohilkhand regions, and in the Doab and Bundelkhand regions, it is a neck and neck situation.

Comments

Other News

A right she cannot reach

Last summer, the two of us spent several weeks in rural Madhya Pradesh with a non-profit that works on gender justice through women’s self-help groups. We went in with a notebook full of laws. The Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act. The Dowry Prohibition Act. Free legal aid for every wo

Tier-2 cities lead India’s digital credit push

Digital payments have become a reflex for urban India, but the confidence earned in paying has not yet carried over to borrowing. That is the central finding of `How Urban India Pays Report 2026`, released by Pahlé India Foundation in collaboration with Amazon Pay. Based on a survey of 5,149 consu

India calls for doubling bilateral trade with UK by 2030

Commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal has called upon businesses in India and the United Kingdom to translate the opportunities created by the India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) into expanded trade, investment, partnerships and job creation. Addressing the Bu

Gandhian movement after Gandhi failed: Ram Guha

The Gandhian movement in India, after Gandhi’s death, failed, says Ramachandra Guha, and blames Vinoba Bhave for it. But the movement found new, fertile grounds around the world and succeeded in bringing about a change in South Africa, the US and elsewhere. It is high time it returned home. Of cour

When religion, politics and Bollywood come together

Tavleen Singh, noted journalist and political commentator, has turned to fiction, with her debut novel ‘The Actor’ (HaperCollins India). Set in the near future, it has a superstar, Amit Singh, turning to politics, when the political landscape is dominated by prime minister Guru Gaynendraj

Cabinet approves setting up of Integrated Transport & Logistics Authority

The union cabinet, chaired by prime minister Narendra Modi, on Tuesday approved the setting up of a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV), called Integrated Transport & Logistics Authority (ITLA), to strengthen research, planning, appraisal, monitoring and impact assessment within the broad domains of Transp