Food inflation slips further

Figure at 8.6 percent as prices fall after kharif crop arrival

PTI | December 2, 2010



After staying put stubbornly at high levels for quite some time, food inflation finally entered single-digit after four months, sliding to 18-month low of 8.60 per cent for the week ended November 20 as prices fell on kharif crop arrivals in the market.

It was at this low way back in May 2009.

Food inflation, which has declined 7 weeks in a row, was at 10.15 per cent for the week ended November 13. It had recorded single-digit level for the week ended July 24, when it had fallen to 9.53 per cent.

However, on annual basis, items like onions, fruits and milk became costlier.

Overall, the slide will help the Reserve Bank breath easy while formulating monetary policy, as the economy too is on a high growth path. GDP showed an impressive 8.9 per cent growth in the first half of the current fiscal.

"Decrease in food inflation is good... I hope it will come down further," Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee told reporters here.

Experts termed the fall in food inflation as beyond expectations and said that if sustained, the low rate could help bring down the overall inflation to government projection of 5.5 per cent by March end

"The overall inflation will remain the same as what I think we had said and what the RBI has said... which is about 5.5 per cent by March 2011... Food inflation is definitely on its was to come down," Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla said.

Overall inflation, which factors in primary articles, fuels and manufactured products, was 8.58 per cent in October.

"We believe that food inflation will remain low in the near future and we do not expect it to again breach the double-digit this fiscal," said Crisil Chief Economist D K Joshi.

"As for RBI, the fall in the food inflation should allow it to maintain status quo. However, there are other factors also in play," he said.

On annual basis, for the week ended November 20, prices of pulses fell 10 per cent, while vegetables became cheaper by 3 per cent on account of sharp dip in potato prices that reduced by as much as 42.99 per cent.

Wheat prices also declined by 3.16 per cent.

However, food items like egg, meat and fish rose by about 15.58 per cent.

In vegetables, onion was expensive by 16.86 per cent on annual basis. Rice also became expensive by 1.84 per cent.

Fruits and milk became costlier by 19.27 per cent and 17.76 per cent, respectively, on year-on-year basis.

The fall in food inflation is in line with Chief Economic Advisor Kaushik Basu's projection earlier this week that the rate of increase in food prices would fall to single digit and even go beyond 9 per cent for the week ended November 20.

"Some downward trend was expected in the food inflation but the fall is even more sharp than we expected. Food inflation has been stubborn for quite some time," Crisil's Joshi said.

Joshi's view was seconded by other economists also.

"It was in line, but the final rate is lower than what we had predicted. Prices of vegetables and cereals generally fall after the monsoon and this has been somewhat reflected in the figures," Axis Bank Senior Vice President Saugata Bhattacharya said.

Asked if inflation will continue in single digit for rest of the fiscal, Bhattacharya said: "Probably...very likely it will hold (in single digit) unless there is some disruption."

He added that the decline in food inflation will provide comfort for the RBI.

The fall in the food inflation rate comes barely a couple of days after the impressive GDP growth of 8.9 per cent registered by economy during the July-September quarter. The economic growth rate for the first quarter was also revised to 8.9 per cent from 8.8 per cent.

This also put the overall growth rate during the first half of the fiscal at 8.9 per cent.


 

Comments

 

Other News

Cabinet approves Dearness Allowance, Dearness Relief

The union cabinet chaired by prime minister Narendra Modi on Wednesday approved the release of an additional instalment of Dearness Allowance (DA) to central government employees and Dearness Relief (DR) to pensioners with effect from 01.07.2026 representing an increase of 3% over the existing rates of 6

Cyclone Arnab strikes Andhra as warming oceans amplify storm risks

Cyclone Arnab made landfall along the Andhra Pradesh and Yanam coasts in the early hours of Wednesday as a very severe cyclonic storm, with maximum sustained wind speeds of 125–135 kmph and gusts reaching 150 kmph. Its rapid intensification has raised concerns about how warmer oceans, global warmin

Counting matters but which ones?

The first instinct of public policy is to count. Its harder task is to count what counts. We have become remarkably good at measuring the reach of the welfare state vis-à-vis beneficiaries covered, rupees transferred, houses built, connections installed and services delivered. But some of the most

Inching closer to a trade deal with America

The cooperation between India and the United States goes back quite a time. We need to relegate that era to the backburner when Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru visited US in the times of president Dwight Eisenhower and called the American let-off of 10 million dollars in defence aid to Pakistan as a “gun w

Manch vs Musk: Forty people and a foreign billionaire

About forty people walked the roundabout on Teen Murti Marg to the gate of Chanakyapuri police station, a distance you could cover in under a minute, on Friday to protest against Elon Musk’s Starlink. The walk was called by the Swadeshi Jagaran Manch. Nobody joined them on the way, and nobody seeme

Master sculptor recalls the making of the Shankaracharya statue

The Golden Chisel: The Story Behind the Making of Ram Lalla  By Seethalakshmi S. and Rahul Nandan Rupa Publications, 168 pages, Rs 395  

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter