Food inflation slips further

Figure at 8.6 percent as prices fall after kharif crop arrival

PTI | December 2, 2010



After staying put stubbornly at high levels for quite some time, food inflation finally entered single-digit after four months, sliding to 18-month low of 8.60 per cent for the week ended November 20 as prices fell on kharif crop arrivals in the market.

It was at this low way back in May 2009.

Food inflation, which has declined 7 weeks in a row, was at 10.15 per cent for the week ended November 13. It had recorded single-digit level for the week ended July 24, when it had fallen to 9.53 per cent.

However, on annual basis, items like onions, fruits and milk became costlier.

Overall, the slide will help the Reserve Bank breath easy while formulating monetary policy, as the economy too is on a high growth path. GDP showed an impressive 8.9 per cent growth in the first half of the current fiscal.

"Decrease in food inflation is good... I hope it will come down further," Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee told reporters here.

Experts termed the fall in food inflation as beyond expectations and said that if sustained, the low rate could help bring down the overall inflation to government projection of 5.5 per cent by March end

"The overall inflation will remain the same as what I think we had said and what the RBI has said... which is about 5.5 per cent by March 2011... Food inflation is definitely on its was to come down," Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla said.

Overall inflation, which factors in primary articles, fuels and manufactured products, was 8.58 per cent in October.

"We believe that food inflation will remain low in the near future and we do not expect it to again breach the double-digit this fiscal," said Crisil Chief Economist D K Joshi.

"As for RBI, the fall in the food inflation should allow it to maintain status quo. However, there are other factors also in play," he said.

On annual basis, for the week ended November 20, prices of pulses fell 10 per cent, while vegetables became cheaper by 3 per cent on account of sharp dip in potato prices that reduced by as much as 42.99 per cent.

Wheat prices also declined by 3.16 per cent.

However, food items like egg, meat and fish rose by about 15.58 per cent.

In vegetables, onion was expensive by 16.86 per cent on annual basis. Rice also became expensive by 1.84 per cent.

Fruits and milk became costlier by 19.27 per cent and 17.76 per cent, respectively, on year-on-year basis.

The fall in food inflation is in line with Chief Economic Advisor Kaushik Basu's projection earlier this week that the rate of increase in food prices would fall to single digit and even go beyond 9 per cent for the week ended November 20.

"Some downward trend was expected in the food inflation but the fall is even more sharp than we expected. Food inflation has been stubborn for quite some time," Crisil's Joshi said.

Joshi's view was seconded by other economists also.

"It was in line, but the final rate is lower than what we had predicted. Prices of vegetables and cereals generally fall after the monsoon and this has been somewhat reflected in the figures," Axis Bank Senior Vice President Saugata Bhattacharya said.

Asked if inflation will continue in single digit for rest of the fiscal, Bhattacharya said: "Probably...very likely it will hold (in single digit) unless there is some disruption."

He added that the decline in food inflation will provide comfort for the RBI.

The fall in the food inflation rate comes barely a couple of days after the impressive GDP growth of 8.9 per cent registered by economy during the July-September quarter. The economic growth rate for the first quarter was also revised to 8.9 per cent from 8.8 per cent.

This also put the overall growth rate during the first half of the fiscal at 8.9 per cent.


 

Comments

 

Other News

The Constitution cannot be altered: Justice Abhay Oka

Justice Abhay Oka, who retired from the Supreme Court in May 2025, has said that the Constitution of India cannot be altered. Explaining the landmark Kesavananda Bharati judgment (1973) on the basic structure of the Constitution, he said, “This is one judgment that has saved democracy in India.&rdq

How the flora and fauna evolved in the Indian subcontinent

Mammals of India  By A.J.T. Johnsingh and P.O. Nameer HarperCollins India in association with Bombay Natural History Society  

India`s renewable race is moving beyond megawatts

When Shell bought Sprng Energy in 2022, India`s renewable energy market appeared to offer precisely what global energy majors were seeking: scale, growth and a place in one of the world`s largest energy transitions. Four years later, Shell is selling the same business to Aditya Birla Group for an enterpris

Nepal Floods: India keeps close watch on the situation

India`s central government has been keeping a close watch on the situation arising out of the flash flood in Nepal on Wednesday. Union home minister Amit Shah spoke with the chief ministers of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, the two states that share the border with Nepal, regarding the disaster

UPI completes 10 years of digital payments revolution

The Unified Payments Interface (UPI), launched on August 25, 2016 by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) under the regulatory oversight of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), has completed 10 years of transforming digital payments in India. UPI has emerged as the backbone of India’s digi

Here’s an I.D.E.A. for career growth and success

Success in today’s professional organisation is no longer solely determined by academic qualifications, technical expertise or years of experience. While these attributes do matter, organisations increasingly value individuals who demonstrate the right mindset and behavioural qualities. The ability

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter