Exit polls predict NDA win in Maharashtra, Haryana with even more seats than in 2014
GN Bureau | October 22, 2019
The voters’ trust in Brand Modi is not a short-term affair – if anything, it is only increasing, or so it seems going by the numbers exit polls have given after the Maharashtra and Haryana assembly elections. Predictions from three TV channels differ widely but each has the BJP/NDA in the top position and some see the ruling party gaining more seats than in 2014.
For comparison, BJP and its partner Shiv Sena had won 122 and 63 seats out of the 288 in the Maharashtra assembly, leaving the main opposition Congress plus NCP at 42+41. After Monday’s voting, the Times Now forecasts the BJP/Sena getting 230 seats and News18 IPSOS sees 243 seats. Only the India Today Axis My India poll has a sobering range of 166-194, which too leaves the possibility open that the ruling coalition may improve its tally. The Congress/NCP, on the other hand, are seen totaling only 48, 41 and 72-90 seats in the three exit polls respectively.
In Haryana, in 2014 the BJP won 47 seats out of 90, just enough for a simple majority, while the Congress and INLD managed only 15 and 19 respectively. This time, the BJP could deliver a record-breaking performance, winning between 10 and 80 seats going by various exit polls, which leave the Congress in the range of 9-12 and INLD may score a zero or win only one.
The BJP traditionally has a strong base in these two states, and the assembly elections there were held in 2014 just after the historic Lok Sabha elections. The results were then seen as a lingering aftereffect of the Modi wave. Prime minister Narendra Modi, in his usual counter-intuitive way, had chosen a new face to lead each state: a young Devendra Fadnavis in Maharashtra and Manohar Lal Khattar as the first non-Jat leader of Haryana. The two have attempted to complement the grand narrative of the central government, and the two have managed to complete the full term as well.
If the exit polls come true, the election verdict would be an unequivocal endorsement of firstly Modi and then the state leadership. It would also show that the government’s official pogrammes and the party’s policies have a widespread resonance with voters.
This should give the party a momentum when entering the poll arena in Delhi later this year and taking on Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party – which had not only stopped the Modi wave but created a record by winning 67 of the 70 seats.
Fire on the Ganges: Life among the Dead in Banaras By Radhika Iyengar 4th Estate / HarperCollins, 348 pages, 599
Calling for reforms in the Engineering Department of BMC, Mumbai Vikas Samiti, a not-for-profit organisation has said that less than optimum performance of Engineering Function has added to the woes of citizens and deterioration in the quality of life in the metro. In its recently released r
Hailing the Maharashtra government for introducing a bill to amend the Insecticide Act, 1968, Pesticide Action Network (PAN) India has called the amendments ‘very focussed’ and urged the state to expand their scope to address other challenges. The bill, introduced in the a
`Garba of Gujarat` has been inscribed in the Representative List of Intangible Cultural Heritage (ICH) of Humanity by UNESCO, under the provisions of the 2003 Convention for the Safeguarding of Intangible Cultural Heritage during the 18th meeting of the Intergovernmental Committee for the Safeguarding of t
Since its inception, Citizen Financial Cyber Fraud Reporting and Management System has witnessed more than 12.77 lakh complaints registered (till November 15, 2023), and has saved more than Rs. 930 crore in more than 3.80 lakh complaints. This was stated by minister of state for home affair
Impacts and implications of Climate Change Vulnerability in the Himalayan Region and ways of creating ‘Climate Resilient Development in Indian Himalayan Region by making mountain communities green and resilient were discussed the side event hosted at the India pavilion at the UN Climate Conference CO