Exit polls predict NDA win in Maharashtra, Haryana with even more seats than in 2014
GN Bureau | October 22, 2019
The voters’ trust in Brand Modi is not a short-term affair – if anything, it is only increasing, or so it seems going by the numbers exit polls have given after the Maharashtra and Haryana assembly elections. Predictions from three TV channels differ widely but each has the BJP/NDA in the top position and some see the ruling party gaining more seats than in 2014.
For comparison, BJP and its partner Shiv Sena had won 122 and 63 seats out of the 288 in the Maharashtra assembly, leaving the main opposition Congress plus NCP at 42+41. After Monday’s voting, the Times Now forecasts the BJP/Sena getting 230 seats and News18 IPSOS sees 243 seats. Only the India Today Axis My India poll has a sobering range of 166-194, which too leaves the possibility open that the ruling coalition may improve its tally. The Congress/NCP, on the other hand, are seen totaling only 48, 41 and 72-90 seats in the three exit polls respectively.
In Haryana, in 2014 the BJP won 47 seats out of 90, just enough for a simple majority, while the Congress and INLD managed only 15 and 19 respectively. This time, the BJP could deliver a record-breaking performance, winning between 10 and 80 seats going by various exit polls, which leave the Congress in the range of 9-12 and INLD may score a zero or win only one.
The BJP traditionally has a strong base in these two states, and the assembly elections there were held in 2014 just after the historic Lok Sabha elections. The results were then seen as a lingering aftereffect of the Modi wave. Prime minister Narendra Modi, in his usual counter-intuitive way, had chosen a new face to lead each state: a young Devendra Fadnavis in Maharashtra and Manohar Lal Khattar as the first non-Jat leader of Haryana. The two have attempted to complement the grand narrative of the central government, and the two have managed to complete the full term as well.
If the exit polls come true, the election verdict would be an unequivocal endorsement of firstly Modi and then the state leadership. It would also show that the government’s official pogrammes and the party’s policies have a widespread resonance with voters.
This should give the party a momentum when entering the poll arena in Delhi later this year and taking on Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party – which had not only stopped the Modi wave but created a record by winning 67 of the 70 seats.
The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted economies and healthcare systems across the world. Even in the countries like the US that have the highest spend on healthcare and public health emergency preparedness, the impact of coronavirus pandemic on health and livelihoods of people has been tremendous. There are
India would play a leading role in the global revival, prime minister Narendra Modi said on Thursday, as he addressed the inaugural session of India Global week via video-conference. He said that this is closely linked with two factors. “First is - Indian talent and second is India`s
The BrihanMumbai municipal corporation (BMC) has countered Maharashtra leader of opposition Devendra Fadanvis’s suspicions of fewer Covid-19 tests, as it outlined various measures it has adopted since the first test conducted on February 3, and how it has gradually brought down the number of cases in
As part of the four T strategy of trace-test-track-treat, Mumbai – the most affected city in India – has decided to make Covid-19 tests accessible to all. The municipal corporation of Greater Mumbai (MCGM) has come out with guidelines allowing all laboratories to conduct RT-PCR (
In a major development on July 6, the Chinese army started moving back its tents, vehicles as well as troops from locations where disengagement was agreed upon in eastern Ladakh’s Galwan Valley. This is a significant milestone in regional geopolitics with India having been successful in isolating the
With the Covid-19 pandemic pushing more online activity and the capacity usage of data centres going up, India’s largest data centre (DC) building and the biggest tier-IV data centre, Yotta NM1,the second largest in the world, has been launched in Mumbai. The launch event on Tue