Monsoon to be normal, El Nino to lose steam by May

Private forecaster Skymet report predicts normal rains while IMD report will be issued on April 23

GN Bureau | April 14, 2015


#Indian monsoon   #Baishaki   #Vishu   #rainfall   #weather   #El Nino   #agriculture   #Uttar Pradesh   #Akhilesh Yadav  

As various communities celebrate harvest festival like Baishaki and Vishu on Tuesday, it can be told that the Indian monsoon will be normal.

Even though the official word on the monsoon forecast from India Meteorological department (IMD) is expected by April 23, private weather forecaster Skymet says that the country will receive normal rains during the June-September rainfall season.

There are fears of El Nino effect on the Indian monsoon where as much as 60 per cent of the farmland is rain-fed. El Nino has a history of adversely impacting monsoon rain. In the past decade, 2002, 2004 and 2009 were drought years due to the phenomenon. El Nino is an oceanic phenomenon that emerges every three to seven years, leading to warm water temperatures around the Pacific coast of South America, thus affecting cloud formation.

However, Skymet says that El Nino will ebb next month and that means it will not affect June monsoon.  Its March forecast says that the monsoon rainfall might be 102 per cent of long-period average for the period June to September. Skymet expects a few dry patches in parts of northwest, central and south India but on the whole it is optimistic of normal rains in 2015.

The US agency — National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA), in its latest forecast on April 10 had stated a 70 per cent chance of an El Nino lasting through summer, up from the 50-50 per cent chance it had indicated a month ago. Last month, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology had stated that current conditions indicated there was about 50 per cent chance of El Nino forming in 2015.

Rainfall relief sought by UP
With 55 districts in Uttar Pradesh hit by untimely rains and hailstorm, state Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav has declared a calamity and has written to prime minister Narendra Modi seeking Rs. 1,000 crores to immediately provide relief to farmers.

The Chief Minister reviewed the situation on Monday and had said that a financial assistance of Rs. five lakhs from the Chief Minister's fund will be provided to farmers who faced an unnatural death.

Yadav has also cancelled the leave of all divisional commissioners, district magistrates and others involved in relief works and has directed them to conduct the work in a prompt and transparent manner, he added.

Comments

 

Other News

Reit: Real estate for retail

Every middle-class Indian dreams of a home coupled withlanded property to live off the rent. However, large initial investment, particularly inmetros, and low yields ensure that real estate is out of the reach of the common man. A return of 7-8 percent from commercial properties is considered highly commen

Maharashtra poll panel rolls out Electors Verification Programme

The Maharashtra State Election Commission has urged the residents to take advantage of the ongoing Electors Verification Programme (EVP) and register their names along with those of the members of their families in the electoral rolls. The drive, which started on November 11, 2019, will continue till Febru

Budget goes to print with Halwa ceremony

The budget season is here, and the annual document has gone to print, beginning the lock-in period till its presentation in parliament on February 1. The Halwa ceremony, marking the commencement of the budget printing process, was held in North Block Monday morning in the presence of finance

‘Desh Apnayen’ is a movement to partner with your country: Vallabh Bhansali

Investment banker, venture capitalist and stock-market expert Vallabh Bhansali is the co-founder and chairman of Enam Group, a pioneering equity research company in the country. He is a promoter of spiritual and cultural traditions and also an expert on development economics, behavioural science and co

Evaluating public-private partnership, the right way

Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) projects are always under scrutiny, given the options of alternative of traditional procurement for the government. The value-for-money debate is one of the essential parameters to judge any PPP. In the absence of any credible data on this regard, it is very difficult to e

Electoral bonds emerge as preferred mode of political donation

Electoral bonds, introduced in January 2018 to bring in transparency in political funding, has emerged as the preferred route for making donations to parties, according to an analysis of the parties’ audit reports by the Association of Democratic Reforms (ADR). “Given the anonymi



Archives

Current Issue

Video

CM Nitish’s convoy attacked in Buxar

Opinion

Facebook    Twitter    Google Plus    Linkedin    Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter