Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US-led response have heightened fears of an escalation: Fitch Ratings
GN Bureau | November 2, 2022
Sovereigns are being targeted with increasing frequency by cyberattacks, and authorities are devoting more resources to defending against them, with the greatest threats from cyber-capable states and criminal groups sheltered by them, Fitch Ratings says in a new report.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and the US-led sanctions response have heightened fears of an escalation, said the report of the agency released on Monday.
Cyberattacks are event risks that are hard to predict and quantify, and relevant data are far from comprehensive. It is difficult to envisage Fitch taking rating actions on a sovereign ex-ante, based on cyber readiness concerns or risks, it said, adding that the agency plans to gather more information on cyber risks as part of its rating activity.
Ranked alongside other sovereign creditworthiness drivers, the risk of a severe cyberattack is a tail risk, a low-probability event but with potentially significant impact. In the event of a cyberattack, Fitch said it would assess the impact on the economy, public and external finances and other credit variables relative to ratings headroom and financial, operational and reputational impacts, in line with our criteria. Fitch has not so far taken any rating action on a sovereign or non-sovereign issuer as a result of a cyberattack.
Some countries facing geopolitical risks are more likely to suffer cyberattacks emanating from hostile states. But, as seen in the case of the 2022 ransomware attack on neutral Costa Rica, they can be targeted anywhere and profit is the most common motive.
The most critical targets from a sovereign credit perspective are a country’s finance ministry and central bank. Potential credit impacts from cyberattacks range from short-term ones, such as disrupting payment systems, tax collection or critical infrastructure, to long-term, structural ones, such as undermining governance. A cyberattack could help to precipitate a debt crisis, in combination with other factors.
The Fitch report, “Cyberattacks Are a Growing Risk for Sovereigns”, can be accessed at www.fitchratings.com
Former World Health Organisation (WHO) chief scientist Soumya Swaminathan takes charge as chairperson of M S Swaminathan Research Foundation (MSSRF) from February 1. Founded by her father, the legendary agricultural scientist M S Swaminathan, MSSRF was set up to accelerate the use of m
The digital revolution is being led by India. Digital governance is a key component of the government's ambition to transform India into a society where everyone has access to the internet. It includes both M-governance and E-governance, which are major methods for the delivery of services via mobile devic
Saundarya Lahari: Wave of Beauty Translated from the Sanskrit by Mani Rao HarperCollins, 218 pages, Rs 399 ‘Saundarya Lahari’, usually ascribed to Adi Shankaracharya, has a unique status among the religious-spiritual works of Hinduism.
This year, as the nation commemorates the 75th death anniversary of Mahatma Gandhi on January 30, Rajesh Talwar, a prolific author who is also a legal advisor to the UN, is all set to release a play for children on non-violence chronicling the life of Mahatma Gandhi, ‘The Boy Who Became the Mahat
Neha Lakra, 20, doesn’t forget to practise hockey, at least for four hours, every day. Whether at home or at the Panposh sports hostel in Rourkela where she is training under the guidance of coaches, her routine doesn’t change. “I can’t sleep unless I have worked on the ground,&rdqu
Somewhere Among the Stars: Reflections of a Mystic By Adi Varuni Kali/BluOne Ink, 282 pages, Rs 395 Decades ago, when an unknown N