INCCA report predicts temperatures to rise by by 1.7-2.2 degree Celsius by 2030
Neha Sethi | November 16, 2010
The annual temperature in some parts of India is set to rise by 1.7 degree Celsius-2.2 degree Celsius (with 1970s as base year) by the year 2030, affecting the four sectors, namely, water, forest, health and agriculture, a report prepared by India’s network for climate change assessment (INCCA) said.
The ‘Climate Change and India: a 4x4 assessment’ report, which was released on Tuesday provides an assessment of impact of climate change in 2030 in four areas of the country namely Himalayas, North-east, Western Ghats and the coastal region.
The water yield in the country is projected to increase in the Himalayan region in 2030s by 5-20 percent. The report also predicts an increase in precipitation (rain, snow and storm) in the four eco-fragile areas.
On the issue of sea level rise, the report says that ‘sea level along the Indian coast has been rising at the rate of 1.3mm/year and is likely to rise in consonance with the global sea level rise in the future. Further projections indicate that the frequency of cyclones is likely to decrease in 2030s, with increase in cyclonic intensity.’
The report also predicts moderate to extreme drought severity in 2030s for the Himalayan region, as compared to the other regions. ‘All the regions are likely to experience flooding which are exceeding existing magnitudes by 10 percent to 30 percent,’ it states.
‘Malaria is projected to spread in new areas in Jammu and Kashmir in the Himalayan region,’ the report predicts.
Climate change rising temperature and sea levels are posing new risks for coastal cities. With population growth rate of 1%- 2% in India every year, Mumbai too is growing and is population will double from 20 million to 40 million in the coming years. The city is also at the risk of rising sea level. It ne
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