India’s growth slumps to 5.3% in the fourth quarter

The growth is slowest in the last nine years

trithesh

Trithesh Nandan | May 31, 2012



The much talked  about ‘policy paralysis’ is now taking its toll on the country as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a mere 5.3 percent in the January-March (fourth quarter of the financial year). The growth is lowest since 2003. It was during the NDA regime that the country’s GDP clocked at 3.6 percent in the January-March quarter of 2003. 

Last year, India grew at 7.8 percent in the same quarter.

“There is a total mismanagement of economy by the government,” professor Christopher Lingle, an American economist, told Governance Now.

“If the government had wanted to do it or planned to do it, they could not have done a better job… The way to balance the current account deficit is by bringing in foreign investments. India needs to expand its physical infrastructure. That’s not happening,” he added.

During the third quarter (September to December 2011), India grew at 6.1 percent. The reason behind the slow growth in the fourth quarter was because the manufacturing sector contracted to 5.3 percent while agricultural growth slumped to mere 1.7 percent. The impact of the euro zone debt crisis, lack of economic reforms and high interest rates also hit the country’s growth throughout last year.

“The slow growth will severely pull down the service sector growth in the coming quarters. The current global situation remains fragile and steps need to be taken on the domestic front to guard against such uncertainties,” said Rajiv Kumar, secretary general, Ficci.

Such figures may give sleepless nights to policymakers in the North Block but finance minister Pranab Mukherjee has recently said that the Indian economy is resilient. A poll of 31 economists had recently projected India to grow at just 6.1 percent.

The weak rupee, which has shed nearly 12 percent from its 2012 high on pressure from imports and the euro zone crisis has increased the imports bill particularly in the oil sector. “They have done everything wrong so that rupee slides further… All they have done is another nail in the coffin of rupee,” said Lingle.

“This shows a grave crisis of investors’ confidence. We may be in the danger of slipping in to a 1991-like crisis. Urgent and bold steps are immediately needed to prevent the economy from descending into a full-blown crisis. This must be averted at all costs,” said Dr Kumar of Ficci.

In the new fiscal year starting from April 1, the government has forecast economic growth around 6.9 percent.

 

Comments

 

Other News

CAG flags major fiscal lapses in Maharashtra

Maharashtra`s fiscal management has come under sharp scrutiny after the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) of India, in its State Finances Audit Report for 2024-25, flagged significant budgetary inefficiencies, accounting irregularities, understatement of key fiscal indicators and widespread governanc

The health sector research we are not doing

Some neglect is loud. This kind is quiet. It sits in research never commissioned, data never collected, questions never asked. In South Asia, that quiet has let the region’s worst health problems stay understudied, underfunded, and out of sight of those who could act.  

Study flags accessibility and last-mile challenges on Mumbai Metro Aqua Line

Mumbai Metro Line 3 (Aqua Line), the city`s first fully underground metro corridor and one of its largest public transport investments, represents a major engineering achievement and has been widely welcomed by commuters. However, the overall commuter experience continues to be constrained by accessibili

Centre intensifies preparedness as El Niño threat looms

Amid uncertainty in the southwest monsoon due to the potential impact of El Niño, the government is addressing the situation with comprehensive preparedness, a clear strategy, and strong ground-level action. While challenges remain, the entire system has been activated in advance and is working proa

India is crossing a climate threshold

On June 28, Delhi recorded a maximum temperature of 41.3°C, four degrees above the seasonal normal. But the “feels like” temperature, which factors in humidity, showed more than 51°C. What the body experienced was very different from what the thermometer recorded.  India`

The Geography of India’s inflation

India today finds itself in an unusual position. At a time when geopolitical conflicts, trade fragmentation, and supply-chain disruptions are reshaping the global economy, the country`s macroeconomic fundamentals remain relatively upwards. Growth remains among the highest in the world, inflation has larg





Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter