India’s growth slumps to 5.3% in the fourth quarter

The growth is slowest in the last nine years

trithesh

Trithesh Nandan | May 31, 2012



The much talked  about ‘policy paralysis’ is now taking its toll on the country as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a mere 5.3 percent in the January-March (fourth quarter of the financial year). The growth is lowest since 2003. It was during the NDA regime that the country’s GDP clocked at 3.6 percent in the January-March quarter of 2003. 

Last year, India grew at 7.8 percent in the same quarter.

“There is a total mismanagement of economy by the government,” professor Christopher Lingle, an American economist, told Governance Now.

“If the government had wanted to do it or planned to do it, they could not have done a better job… The way to balance the current account deficit is by bringing in foreign investments. India needs to expand its physical infrastructure. That’s not happening,” he added.

During the third quarter (September to December 2011), India grew at 6.1 percent. The reason behind the slow growth in the fourth quarter was because the manufacturing sector contracted to 5.3 percent while agricultural growth slumped to mere 1.7 percent. The impact of the euro zone debt crisis, lack of economic reforms and high interest rates also hit the country’s growth throughout last year.

“The slow growth will severely pull down the service sector growth in the coming quarters. The current global situation remains fragile and steps need to be taken on the domestic front to guard against such uncertainties,” said Rajiv Kumar, secretary general, Ficci.

Such figures may give sleepless nights to policymakers in the North Block but finance minister Pranab Mukherjee has recently said that the Indian economy is resilient. A poll of 31 economists had recently projected India to grow at just 6.1 percent.

The weak rupee, which has shed nearly 12 percent from its 2012 high on pressure from imports and the euro zone crisis has increased the imports bill particularly in the oil sector. “They have done everything wrong so that rupee slides further… All they have done is another nail in the coffin of rupee,” said Lingle.

“This shows a grave crisis of investors’ confidence. We may be in the danger of slipping in to a 1991-like crisis. Urgent and bold steps are immediately needed to prevent the economy from descending into a full-blown crisis. This must be averted at all costs,” said Dr Kumar of Ficci.

In the new fiscal year starting from April 1, the government has forecast economic growth around 6.9 percent.

 

Comments

 

Other News

When Nandini Satpathy told Biju Patnaik: ‘I’ll sit on the chair you are sitting on’

Nandini Satpathy: The Iron Lady of Orissa By Pallavi Rebbapragada Simon and Schuster India, 321 pages, Rs 765

Elections 2024: 1,351 candidates in fray for Phase 3

As many as 1,351 candidates from 12 states /UTs are contesting elections in Phase 3 of Lok Sabha Elections 2024. The number includes eight contesting candidates for the adjourned poll in 29-Betul (ST) PC of Madhya Pradesh. Additionally, one candidate from Surat PC in Gujarat has been elected unopp

2023-24 net direct tax collections exceed budget estimates by 7.40%

The provisional figures of direct tax collections for the financial year 2023-24 show that net collections are at Rs. 19.58 lakh crore, 17.70% more than Rs. 16.64 lakh crore in 2022-23. The Budget Estimates (BE) for Direct Tax revenue in the Union Budget for FY 2023-24 were fixed at Rs. 18.

‘World’s biggest festival of democracy’ begins

The much-awaited General Elections of 2024, billed as the world’s biggest festival of democracy, began on Friday with Phase 1 of polling in 102 Parliamentary Constituencies (the highest among all seven phases) in 21 States/ UTs and 92 Assembly Constituencies in the State Assembly Elections in Arunach

A sustainability warrior’s heartfelt stories of life’s fleeting moments

Fit In, Stand Out, Walk: Stories from a Pushed Away Hill By Shailini Sheth Amin Notion Press, Rs 399

What EU’s AI Act means for the world

The recent European Union (EU) policy on artificial intelligence (AI) will be a game-changer and likely to become the de-facto standard not only for the conduct of businesses but also for the way consumers think about AI tools. Governments across the globe have been grappling with the rapid rise of AI tool

Visionary Talk: Amitabh Gupta, Pune Police Commissioner with Kailashnath Adhikari, MD, Governance Now


Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter