Number of new infections falls, fewer active cases, recovery rate crosses 72%
GN Bureau | August 17, 2020
India remains one of the worst Covid-19-affected countries, but the number of new infections has dropped after a while, even as the recoveries are rising, going by Monday’s official bulletin.
In the 24 hours to Monday evening, the country registered the highest single day recoveries with as many as 57,584 Covid-19 patients getting cured and discharged. There were 57,981 fresh cases too, but the number has come down from the 60,000+ of the previous few days.
There have been a total of 26,47,663 infection so far. As many as 941 deaths in the 24-hour period take the number of fatalities so far to 50,921.
With this, India’s Recovery Rate has touched 72.51%. With more patients recovering and being discharged from hospitals and home isolation (in case of mild and moderate cases), total recoveries so far are 19,19,842 – soon to cross the 2 million mark. This has ensured that the difference between the recovered and active cases continues to expand. It is 12,42,942 on Monday.
“This is the result of successful and coordinated implementation of an effective containment strategy, aggressive and comprehensive testing coupled with standardized clinical management of the critical patients. India has followed a Standard of Care protocol for the differentiated categorisation of COVID-19 patients – mild, moderate and severe as clearly formulated in the Clinical Management Protocol of Ministry of Health & Family Welfare (MoHFW). The effective clinical management strategies have shown to yield positive results,” the health ministry said in the official statement.
The actual case load of the country, that is, the active cases (6,76,900 on date) has reduced and currently comprises only 25.57% of the total positive cases. Early identification of cases has helped to ensure timely and prompt isolation of the mild and moderate cases and hospitalisation of the severe and critical cases thereby leading to timely and effective management of cases. The Case Fatality Rate has further slumped today touching 1.92%.
India sets a new landmark, exceeds 3 crore tests
The improvement in numbers is largely attributed to the strategy of ‘Testing, Tracking and Treating’. Aggressive testing leads to early identification and isolation of positive cases. This coupled with efficient clinical treatment brings the Fatality Rate down. Thus, enhanced and timely TESTING is not only keeping the Positivity Rate low but also the Fatality Rate low.
In a testament to the focussed, consistent and coordinated efforts of the authorities, India has set a new landmark of conducting 3 crore tests. Expanded the diagnostic lab network and facilitation for easy testing across the country have given a substantial boost. With 7,31,697 tests conducted in the 24 hours to Monday evening, India is on its resolved drive to increase its testing capacity to 10 lakh tests daily. Building on this achievement, the Tests Per Million (TPM) have seen a sharp increase to 21,769.
While the cumulative testing rose from 1.2 crore on July 14 to 3.0 crore on August 16, the positivity rate has seen a rise from 7.5% to 8.81% in the same period. Although higher number of tests will push the positivity rate initially, but as the Delhi experience has amply shown, it will eventually lower when combined with other measures such as prompt isolation, tracking and timely clinical management.
A prominent determinant of the evolving testing strategy is the steadily widening diagnostic lab network in the country. This has significantly grown from one lab at Pune in early January 2020 to 1470 today, including 969 labs in the government sector and 501 private labs.
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