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Decline in business sentiment: RBI survey

The survey indicated slight moderation in the sentiments in demand condition for the second successive quarter

GN Bureau | January 27, 2017


#RBI   #Banking   #Reserve Bank of India  


The Reserve Bank of India’s Industrial Outlook Survey has indicated a decline in business sentiments.

This round of the survey was conducted during October-December 2016. The survey elicited response from 1,221 manufacturing companies. The survey provides qualitative assessment of business situation of companies in the Indian manufacturing sector for Q3:2016-17 and their expectations for the ensuing quarter Q4:2016-17. Results of 75th round (Q2:2016-17) of the survey were released on October 4, 2016 on the RBI website.

The survey responses are those of the respondents and are not necessarily shared by the Reserve Bank of India.

Read: India a bright spot in world economy: KPMG

On assessment for Q3:2016-17, the survey indicated slight moderation in the sentiments in demand condition for the second successive quarter. In respect of several parameters like order books, capacity utilisation and imports, the level of optimism was lower in this quarter than Q2:2016-17. However, the respondents were somewhat more optimistic about the export performance than Q2:2016-17 while the optimism on production remained unchanged.

Availability of finance from banks and other sources were perceived to have worsened. However, due to reduced pessimism about the cost of finance and the cost of raw material, the sentiment on profit margin remained largely unchanged.

Overall, the business sentiments of the Indian manufacturing sector, as inferred from the Business Expectation Index (BEI), deteriorated for the second successive quarter.

On expectation for Q4: 2016-17, the outlook on business sentiments in Q4: 2016-17 largely followed similar pattern. However, in respect of demand condition (Order Books, Production), the outlook deteriorated. Pressure from rise in cost of raw material was expected to bring down profit margin. Improved sentiments were expressed in pending orders, exports, and cost of finance.

Read: RBI’s Industrial Outlook Survey


 

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