With WPI over 6%, rate cut unlikely

Experts believe that with existing inflationary pressures, the RBI governor is likely to hike the repo rate in the upcoming monetary policy review on October 29

GN Bureau | October 15, 2013



Looks like Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rhajan will have to wait longer before he can give in to popular demand of easing up interest rates thanks to persistent inflationary pressures. With the rise in the wholesale price index (WPI) based inflation last month to 6.46 percent, the highest in seven months, experts expect Rajan to maintain a hawkish stance and hike the interest rate.

In the second quarter monetary policy review to be announced on October 29, experts have pegged a repo rate hike by 25 basis points. Repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow from the RBI and this impacts the interest rates charged on loans to consumers.

The increase in the WPI inflation from 6.1 percent in August to 6.46 in September, mainly due to high food prices, has put greater pressure on the RBI to further tighten liquidity in the economy.

In his debut monetary policy review last month, Rajan had raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.5 percent.

While experts are pretty sure of an in interest rate hike, India Inc is hopeful that Rajan will keep the poor investor sentiment in mind and go in for a rate cut despite high inflation.

"The increase in inflation to a seven month high is a cause for concern especially as the economy is in the midst of investment led slowdown and there are no major signs of a turnaround in industrial activity in the country," said Chandrajit Banerjee, director general, CII.

He further said, "The revival of inflation, especially that of food prices, calls for urgent steps to address supply side bottlenecks in agriculture. Besides, the rise in inflation should not come in the way of the forthcoming policy of monetary easing by the RBI as the arrival of kharif crop in October would provide some relief in food prices, going forward. Moreover, it is of utmost importance to shore up flagging investor sentiment which has been adversely affected by high interest rates."
 

Comments

 

Other News

How Rafi, Raj Kapoor helped pave the way for a great uranium deal

There`s a certain moment in diplomacy that`s too personal to be captured in a communiqué, too small to make the front page, but more revealing than the front page. This week, prime minister Narendra Modi reached Tashkent and, amid the pomp of state visits, managed to evoke the old Bollywood tunes

Distinguishing Fish 1 and Fish 2: The pragmatism behind India’s WTO ratification

 India became the 123rd WTO member to ratify the multilateral Agreement on Fisheries subsidies (AoFS) when it deposited the Instrument of Acceptance for Phase 1 on July 20, 2026. The ratification is restricted to disciplining Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated fishing (IUU), protection for overfished

The 7% growth problem: Why the next 7% will be harder

India has become accustomed to hearing the 7% growth number. It is now less a milestone than an expectation. Yet the paradox is becoming clearer: maintaining 7% growth may be considerably harder than achieving it once. India’s real GDP grew 7.7% in FY2025–26, following growth of 6.5% in FY202

The Constitution cannot be altered: Justice Abhay Oka

Justice Abhay Oka, who retired from the Supreme Court in May 2025, has said that the Constitution of India cannot be altered. Explaining the landmark Kesavananda Bharati judgment (1973) on the basic structure of the Constitution, he said, “This is one judgment that has saved democracy in India.&rdq

How the flora and fauna evolved in the Indian subcontinent

Mammals of India  By A.J.T. Johnsingh and P.O. Nameer HarperCollins India in association with Bombay Natural History Society  

India`s renewable race is moving beyond megawatts

When Shell bought Sprng Energy in 2022, India`s renewable energy market appeared to offer precisely what global energy majors were seeking: scale, growth and a place in one of the world`s largest energy transitions. Four years later, Shell is selling the same business to Aditya Birla Group for an enterpris

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter