A trip to the future, with AI visionary Kurzweil

‘The Singularity is Nearer’ explores nitty-gritty of AI, how it will reshape societies and what it means for humanity

GN Bureau | October 9, 2024


#Technology   #Ray Kurzweil   #Artificial Intelligence   #Jobs   #Healthcare  
[Photo by nrkbeta - Ray Kurzweil @ SXSW 2017, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=65171707]
[Photo by nrkbeta - Ray Kurzweil @ SXSW 2017, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=65171707]

The Singularity is Nearer: When We Merge with AI
By Ray Kurzweil
Bodley Head/ Penguin, 425 pages

Ray Kurzweil can see the future. The American computer scientist and entrepreneur is one of the greatest inventors of our time with over 60 years’ experience in the field of AI. Dozens of his long-range predictions about the rise of the internet, AI and bioengineering have been borne out. In 2005, he published a book titled ‘The Singularity is Near’. The insights he shared in it were based on his experience in the domain of technology. From what he saw, he made extrapolations about the future. ‘Singularity’ that he predicted to be near is a term he borrowed from mathematics to mean that artificial intelligence (AI) will achieve the level of human intelligence (by 2029) and then the two will merge (by 204), that is, become Singular.

Back then, AI was a futuristic concept, something we came across in technology papers and in books like Kurzweil’s, apart from science fiction. But in the past three or four years, AI has become real for people other than the tech crowd. ChatGPT and similar platforms have made it as available and accessible as email and mobile-phone apps. Many of its immense possibilities are no longer mere possibilities. So, Kurzweil is back. The title of the new book plays on that of the previous one – it is nearer.

In this visionary and fundamentally optimistic book, he tells us how the Singularity will occur, explores what it will mean to live free from the limits of biology and argues that we can and will transform life on Earth profoundly for the better.

“Humanity’s millennia-long march toward the Singularity has become a sprint. In the introduction to ‘The Singularity is Near’, I wrote that we were then ‘in the early stages of this transformation’. Now we are entering its culmination. That book was about glimpsing a distant horizon—this one is about the last miles along the path to reach it,” the author writes in the introduction.

It also means that this book can see the future with a sharper focus. The legendary tech oracle takes into account the technologies that have come up in recent times. Explaining how AI will transform our species beyond recognition within two decades, the book considers immediate and pressing challenges like the future of jobs and possible benefits in healthcare as well as more philosophical explorations such as the human identity post Singularity.  

Among the questions this exciting book takes up are: What will it mean to live free from the limits of our bodies? Who will we become if our minds can be stored and duplicated? What new realms of beauty, connection and wonder might we inhabit? How will we navigate the risks presented by such awesomely powerful technology?

By the end of this decade, AI will exceed human levels of intelligence. During the 2030s, it will become ‘superintelligent’, vastly outstripping our capabilities and enabling dramatic interventions in our bodies. By 2045, we will be able to connect our brains directly with AI, enhancing our intelligence a millionfold and expanding our consciousness in ways we can barely imagine.

While Kurzweil can be expected to be as excited about the AI future as a teenager might be, it is to his credit that he also pauses to consider the potential pitfalls of grafting a piece of our intelligence to something that is not a product of nature.

The new book comes with a blurb (“A fascinating exploration of our future”) on its cover by Yuval Noah Harari, who also quotes from here in his own latest work, ‘Nexus’. If you want to be better informed about the forces shaping your future that is almost present, do read it.
 

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