Congress has closed the door for alliance but going by the numbers it shows that if they had accepted it, BJP could have been in trouble
Deexa Khanduri | March 18, 2019 | Delhi
The Congress party has unanimously supported Sheila Dikhshit's decision to reject an alliance with the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in Delhi. With the Congress shutting the prospect of alliance, the national convener and Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal has slammed the party saying that when the whole nation is fighting against the Modi-Amit Shah duo, the grand old party is helping the BJP by splitting anti-BJP vote. He even claimed that Congress has some secret understanding with the BJP. He further said that Delhi is ready to fight against the Congress-BJP alliance.
Although, the Congress has rejected the alliance, if one analyses the data given on the Election Commission website the numbers reveal that if Congress had accepted the 3+3+1 seat-sharing formula of AAP, the alliance could have been a challenge for the ruling BJP.
|Constituency||Total number of Votes||AAP||Congress||BJP||AAP+Congress|
|North West Delhi||9,69,812||5,23,058||1,57,468||6,39,860||6,80,526|
Vote share of 2014 (Source: Election Commission of India)
The above data clearly shows that if in 2014 the Congress and AAP had fought the elections together they could have easily won all the seats except west Delhi. The vote share of BJP in 2014 was 46 percent. The cumulative vote share of AAP and Congress stands 48 percent.
Mohit Pandey, a political researcher who has worked with C-voters and AAP election research team, says, “Winning election is not all about numbers and past trends. Undoubtedly, the Congress-AAP alliance would have helped the Congress to revive and AAP's entry in the parliament. The alliance would have worked for both parties since their vote bank is same and their socio-economic sections include slum dwellers, auto rickshaw drivers, purvanchalis and people living in unauthorized colonies. Now, it seems to be a tough road ahead for AAP. Moreover, in 2014 too, Delhi citizens never voted for candidates but for Narendra Modi. Let the other parties declare their candidates and manifestos, it would be too early to comment.”
A senior leader of Congress on the condition of anonymity says, “The votes AAP got in 2014 belonged to Congress. In 2013, the newly born party ate our vote bank and completely swiped us in 2015 legislative assembly elections. But our vote share had increased in the Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) 2017 election and it would further increase in Lok Sabha 2019 election. If we would have gone in alliance with AAP, the grand old party would have looked dependable. Moreover, the state assembly election will be held eight months after the Lok Sabha election of 2019. BJP doesn’t have a face for the assembly election, and AAP is facing anti-incumbency, there are lots of chances that we can easily come in 2020 assembly election. Why would we risk it by allying with AAP?”
Rejecting the claim of the Congress, Brijesh Goyal, AAP, Lok Sabha candidate from New Delhi, says, “In a hope to consolidate the vote against the BJP, we were keen to have an alliance with the Congress in Delhi. But the party is full of arrogance and it refused it.”
Refusing the anti-incumbency claim against AAP in Delhi, Goyal says, “We have done a lot of work in the past four years such as no hike in electricity bills, waiving off from water bill, setting up mohalla clinics, the working of government schools, old age pension, abolishing inspector raj, and many others, and we want to do more. People have also seen how BJP didn’t co-operate with us and Delhi citizens will vote for us.”
While it seems that there will be no alliance in Delhi for now, few politicians who wished for it will always play the blame game and keep talking about it, till the election results are declared.
An underground rapper who grew up on Mumbai streets, Divine spins his music around his environment and poverty. His breakout single, ‘Meri Gully Mein’, along with fellow rapper Naezy caught Bollywood’s attention. The Hindi film ‘Gully Boy’ is inspired by their lives and gr
Anil Swarup, an IAS officer of Uttar Pradesh cadre who retired in 2018, is a model bureaucrat who retained his optimism right till the end of service and exemplified dedication and commitment. His excitement at the opportunities that a job in the IAS provided is evident on every page of his new book publis
The question of reform of the civil services has been debated extensively at all levels at least over the last five to six decades after independence. Indeed, it was soon perceived that the Indian Administrative Service (IAS) may not be well equipped to deal with the problems of an emerging developing coun
Shouting vengeance at all and sundry while wriggling out of holes of our own making seems to be our very special national characteristic. Some recent instances are illustrative of this attribute. A number of business tycoons with thousands of crores of unresolved debts have fled abroad with the government
The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) came into existence, based on a Resolution of the home ministry, dated April 1, 1963 – a sheer coincidence that it also happens to be April Fool’s day. Over the past few months, we have seen the CBI live up to its founding day with great zeal, being i
Gujarat was passing through a turbulent phase in the 1980s. The decade began middle class agitations against new reservation policies, and the caste friction turned communal under the watch of chief minister Madhavsinh Solanki, alienating majority of urban population on both counts. The ground was ripe for