Modi influence on eco survey?

What else would you conclude when his pet theme of ‘demographic dividend’ gets a full chapter?

ajay

Ajay Singh | February 27, 2013



The economic survey, presented in parliament on Wednesday, has a curious new feature: a full chapter on ‘Seizing the demographic dividend’, on how the youth are going to dominate the next decade or so, and what it means for the future of job creation in India.

Of course, ‘demographic dividend’ is not a new phenomenon for economists. It has also attracted the attention of the political class since the youth are expected to comprise the biggest political base.

That is why Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi has been harping on this theme quite effectively – during the Vibrant Gujarat summit in January as well as in his much-talked-about speech at the Shri Ram College of Commerce (SRCC) in Delhi. In his view, the union government is not fully prepared to take advantage of the demographic dividend which will add to the country’s productive human resource base. On the other hand, he also cautions that if the country fails to turn this demographic change into advantage, it would on the brink of chaos: a large number of unemployed and aimless youngsters will be a recipe for disaster.

The economic survey has attempted to address these concerns and compared India’s demographic profile with that of other Asian countries like China, Indonesia and South Korea. The document takes note of the concerns about the slowdown of the economy, and recommends measures to generate employment. In the process, it ends up repeating the very issues that Modi has been articulating with more conviction.

For all we know, this influence of Modi could be unwitting. An eminent economist like Raghuram Rajan, chief economic adviser to the finance minister and thus the chief author of the survey, is not expected to be influenced by Modi’s political rhetoric. But, at any rate, if Rajan considers this an issue important enough to be devoted a separate chapter, then it needs to be said that Modi grasped its significance well ahead in time.

Either way, there is no doubt that ‘demographic dividend’ will be a new addition to the political lexicon as the contest for the votes of the younger generation is only going to get sharper in the next 12 months.

 

Comments

 

Other News

The Cost of Obesity

The latest episode of Checks and Balances focuses on the ticking time bomb of obesity in India, and Geetanjali Minhas of Governance Now spoke with a panel of experts. You can watch the episode here: https://youtu.be/mH

US-Iran deal: Path to peace or prelude to deeper regional quagmire?

In the midst of deep mistrust, the US and Iran are reported to have reached a framework deal for ending the West Asian conflict. But whether it will result in any meaningful breakthrough or pave the way for any lasting peace in the region, is in the realm of speculation.   During

Lived life, philosophy, spirituality and other enigmas

The Ashes Are Warm: Memories of a Lifetime Spent with UG Krishnamurti By Mahesh Bhatt and Sunita Pant Bansal Rupa Publications, 384 pages, Rs 495  

In Varanasi, fringe expansion vs. core heritage

For centuries, the urban framework of Varanasi was defined not just by its relationship with the sacred Ganga but by its multifaceted network of urban commons. Historic kunds, seasonal talabs (ponds), and open maidans served as the city’s basic ecological infrastructure. Th

What ails India`s skill development ecosystem

India’s skill development programmes were designed with a goal to make the young population ready with market-required skills and competencies, and to provide them with better employment opportunities. Yet the outcomes have fallen short of that goal: though over 1.6 crore individuals were trained acr

Cabinet passes resolution applauding PM on term record

The Union Cabinet on Wednesday passed a resolution marking June 10, 2026, as a historic milestone in the journey of Indian democracy applauding Narendra Modi for becoming the longest-serving elected PM of the country. By establishing a record of 4,399 days of continuous service as an elected PM, he has s





Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter