India to grow at 9% in 2011-12: Economic Survey

Inflation remains main concern

GN Bureau | February 25, 2011



India is likely to grow at 9% in 2011-12, up from 8.6% in 2010-11, as per the pre-budget economic survey presented by finance minister Pranab Mukherjee in Lok Sabha.

Inflation remains the key concern, or the 'dark cloud' on the Indian economy, the survey says.

“Inflation is clearly a dominant concern. High food prices are driven by demand factors and may stay elevated on West Asia crisis,” the survey underlines. Food inflation, in particular, has continued to be a major worry, even as prices of vegetables, especially onions, have moderated of late.

The survey has pegged fiscal deficit at 4.8% and revenue deficit at 3.8%.

The slowdown in industrial growth is not worrying, the survey says, but it notes that deceleration in industrial output is a cause for concern.

ECONOMIC SURVEY HIGHLIGHTS:

* Economic growth to be faster than ever before in next two decades.

* Need for efficient taxation of goods and services by a new GST regime.

* Improve convergence of social and financial inclusion schemes to check unemployment, poverty and leakages.

* Reform university and higher education; correct demand supply mismatch in job market.

* Meet resource gap in higher education through public private partnership, with regulatory oversight.

* Economy to grow at 8.6 percent in 2010-11 and 9 percent in the next fiscal.

* Gross fiscal deficit stands at 4.8 per cent of GDP in, down from 6.3 per cent last year.

* Inflation expected to be 1.5 percent higher than what it would be if the economy were not on growth path.

* Economy sees broad-based growth; rebound in farm and continued momentum in manufacturing, private services.

* Fundamentals strong with growing savings and investments, rapid rise in exports.

* Industrial output grows by 8.6 percent; manufacturing sector registers 9.1 percent.

* Exports in April-December 2010 up 29.5 percent; imports up 19 percent.

* Trade gap narrowed to USD 82.01 billion in Apr-Dec 2010.

* Food inflation, higher commodity prices and volatility in global commodity markets cause of concern.

* Inflation continues to be high; need to monitor emerging trends in inflation on a sequential monthly basis.

* To check food inflation, the government should improve delivery mechanisms by strengthening institutions and addressing corruption.

* Savings rate has gone up to 33.7 percent, while the investment rate is up at 36.5 percent of GDP.

* Rising food inflation underlines need for larger investment in farming, enroute to 2nd Green Revolution.

* Net bank credit grows by 59 percent.

* Social programme spending stepped up by 5 percentage points of GDP over past 5 years.

* Production of foodgrains estimated at 232.1 mn tonnes.

* Forex reserves estimated at USD 297.3 billion.

* Accelerated investments needed in infrastructure to address delays,cost overruns, regulatory impediments.

* Telecom sector did exceedingly well; role of services sector as the potential growth engine laudable.

* Policies needed to promote new areas such as accounting,legal, tourism, education, financial and other services.

Comments

 

Other News

Inching closer to a trade deal with America

The cooperation between India and the United States goes back quite a time. We need to relegate that era to the backburner when Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru visited US in the times of president Dwight Eisenhower and called the American let-off of 10 million dollars in defence aid to Pakistan as a “gun w

Manch vs Musk: Forty people and a foreign billionaire

About forty people walked the roundabout on Teen Murti Marg to the gate of Chanakyapuri police station, a distance you could cover in under a minute, on Friday to protest against Elon Musk’s Starlink. The walk was called by the Swadeshi Jagaran Manch. Nobody joined them on the way, and nobody seeme

Master sculptor recalls the making of the Shankaracharya statue

The Golden Chisel: The Story Behind the Making of Ram Lalla  By Seethalakshmi S. and Rahul Nandan Rupa Publications, 168 pages, Rs 395  

Mumbai’s missing affordable homes

Mumbai’s real estate market keeps growing, yet homeownership remains out of reach for much of its population. Three experts – urban researcher Hussain Indorewala, urban planner Vidyadhar Phatak and developer Kamlesh Thakur of NAREDCO Maharashtra, agree that simply constructing more apartments

Rubio denies US foreknowledge of Starlink restrictions in Ukraine

US secretary of state Marco Rubio has said he was unfamiliar with the Wall Street Journal report suggesting Elon Musk had decided to throttle Starlink services in Ukraine, but rejected claims that Washington had ordered the restrictions to pressure Kyiv.   “There was no

Can AI change India’s breast cancer story?

Breast cancer has become a public-health challenge in India. The greatest opportunity is to find cancers earlier. Artificial intelligence (AI) is opening a new era in breast cancer detection. AI systems can analyse mammograms and other breast-imaging studies, identify subtle abnormalities and assist radi

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter