India’s economic growth below potential, says Rajan

As per the RBI governor, investment, inflation, and lending rates are the key problem areas

GN Bureau | August 30, 2016


#seventh pay commission   #lending rates   #inflation   #Raghuram Rajan   #RBI  
Raghuram Rajan
Raghuram Rajan


Outgoing reserve bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan feels that India’s economic growth is below its potential. In a foreword to RBI’s annual report 2015-16, Rajan highlighted what all ails the country’s economy. Rajan’s term ends on September 4.

Rajan stated that while policy actions taken by the government and RBI in restoring macroeconomic stability to the economy have had positive effects, there are a number of areas to be considered “work in progress”. He pointed out three areas of importance, from RBI’s perspective.

“First, economic growth, while showing signs of picking up, is still below levels that the country is capable of. The key weakness is in investment, with private corporate investment subdued because of low capacity utilisation, and public investment slow in rolling out in some sectors. Second, inflation projections are still at the upper limits of RBI’s inflation objective. With the Reserve Bank needing to balance savers’ desire for positive real interest rates with corporate investors’ and retail borrowers’ need for low nominal borrowing rates, the room to cut policy rates can emerge only if inflation is projected to fall further. Third, the willingness of banks to cut lending rates is muted; not only does weak corporate investment reduce the volume of new profitable loans, their stressed assets have tightened capital positions, which may prevent them from lending freely. Certainly, the reluctance to lend to industry and small businesses is more visible among the more stressed public sector banks compared to the private sector banks,” Rajan wrote.

He, however, added that there have been some developments that bode well. They included “expectations of a good monsoon (corroborated thus far) coupled with more money in the hands of government servants (as a result of the implementation of the 7th Pay Commission recommendations)” and also “reforms like the recently passed Goods and Services Tax legislation in Parliament”.

 

Comments

 

Other News

The Constitution cannot be altered: Justice Abhay Oka

Justice Abhay Oka, who retired from the Supreme Court in May 2025, has said that the Constitution of India cannot be altered. Explaining the landmark Kesavananda Bharati judgment (1973) on the basic structure of the Constitution, he said, “This is one judgment that has saved democracy in India.&rdq

How the flora and fauna evolved in the Indian subcontinent

Mammals of India  By A.J.T. Johnsingh and P.O. Nameer HarperCollins India in association with Bombay Natural History Society  

India`s renewable race is moving beyond megawatts

When Shell bought Sprng Energy in 2022, India`s renewable energy market appeared to offer precisely what global energy majors were seeking: scale, growth and a place in one of the world`s largest energy transitions. Four years later, Shell is selling the same business to Aditya Birla Group for an enterpris

Nepal Floods: India keeps close watch on the situation

India`s central government has been keeping a close watch on the situation arising out of the flash flood in Nepal on Wednesday. Union home minister Amit Shah spoke with the chief ministers of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, the two states that share the border with Nepal, regarding the disaster

UPI completes 10 years of digital payments revolution

The Unified Payments Interface (UPI), launched on August 25, 2016 by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) under the regulatory oversight of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), has completed 10 years of transforming digital payments in India. UPI has emerged as the backbone of India’s digi

Here’s an I.D.E.A. for career growth and success

Success in today’s professional organisation is no longer solely determined by academic qualifications, technical expertise or years of experience. While these attributes do matter, organisations increasingly value individuals who demonstrate the right mindset and behavioural qualities. The ability

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter