With the prediction of a week’s delay by the met department, monsoon in Kerala is likely to arrive on June 7
GN Bureau | May 17, 2016
It’s the third week of May and there is still no respite from drought, heat wave and soaring temperature, nor is it likely to be in the coming weeks if the met department is to be believed. For as per IMD’s predictions, monsoons in Kerala would be delayed by a week from its earlier scheduled date of June 1.
The delay of rainfall in Kerala is significant as the southwest monsoon over the southern region hints at arrival of monsoon in others parts of the country as well.
The India Meteorological Department [IMD] forecast for monsoon onset over Kerala has been made with a model error of plus or minus of four days. The model uses six predictors: minimum temperatures over north-west India, pre-monsoon rainfall peak over south peninsula, outgoing long wave radiation [OLR] over South China Sea, lower tropospheric zonal wind over southeast Indian ocean, upper tropospheric zonal wind over the east equatorial Indian ocean, and OLR over the south-west Pacific region. Reports quoted an IMD official as saying that out of the six predictors used in the model, five indicated delayed monsoon over Kerala.
The department further said that conditions were becoming favourable for the onset of southwest monsoon over Nicobar Islands, south Andaman Sea and parts of south Bay of Bengal on around May 17 and advancement over the entire Andaman Sea close to its normal date. It, however, added that past data suggested of no link between dates of monsoon advance over the Andaman Sea either with those of monsoon onset over Kerala or with the seasonal monsoon rainfall over the country.
IMD said that its forecast of onset of monsoon for the past 11 years (2005-2015), except 2015, have been correct. To give an example, it said that in 2014, the onset date was predicted at June 5 while monsoon arrived on June 6. Similarly, the previous year (2013), IMD predicted monsoon on June 3 while the rains arrived on June 1.
As India gears up to celebrate its 71st Republic Day on January 26, it will host Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro as the chief guest of the event that marks the day when the country formally adopted the Constitution as the guiding document. This will be Bolsonaro’s maiden visit, which he would like
With the outbreak of Coronavirus reported from China, India has started taking precautionary measures, and begun screening passengers of selected flights. “As of 21st January, a total of 43 flights and 9156 passengers have been screened for novel Coronavirus illness. Till now, no case
Every middle-class Indian dreams of a home coupled withlanded property to live off the rent. However, large initial investment, particularly inmetros, and low yields ensure that real estate is out of the reach of the common man. A return of 7-8 percent from commercial properties is considered highly commen
The Maharashtra State Election Commission has urged the residents to take advantage of the ongoing Electors Verification Programme (EVP) and register their names along with those of the members of their families in the electoral rolls. The drive, which started on November 11, 2019, will continue till Febru
The budget season is here, and the annual document has gone to print, beginning the lock-in period till its presentation in parliament on February 1. The Halwa ceremony, marking the commencement of the budget printing process, was held in North Block Monday morning in the presence of finance
Investment banker, venture capitalist and stock-market expert Vallabh Bhansali is the co-founder and chairman of Enam Group, a pioneering equity research company in the country. He is a promoter of spiritual and cultural traditions and also an expert on development economics, behavioural science and co