Moody’s Investor Service changes India credit rating to positive

Policy actions will enhance India’s economic and financial strength, says the rating agency

GN Bureau | April 9, 2015


#Moody’s   #credit rating   #positive   #economy   #Narendra Modi   #Raghuram Rajan  

In the backdrop of record foreign exchange reserve in India’s kitty, there is one more good news that may strengthen the hands of prime minister Narendra Modi when he visits Europe this month.  India’s credit rating outlook has been raised to positive by Moody’s Investors Service on Thursday. The country’s Baa3 rating was affirmed and the outlook was revised from stable.

It said there was an increasing probability that actions by policy makers will enhance the country's economic strength and, in turn, the sovereign's financial strength over coming years. Moody's said it expected structural advantages, supported by relatively benign global commodity prices and liquidity conditions, will keep India's growth higher than that of its peers over the rating horizon.

The ratings agency had improved the country's sovereign credit rating outlook from negative to stable in September last year indicating the possibility of a rating upgrade.  And Thursday’s positive outlook signals global optimism in the efforts of Modi and Reserve Bank of India governor Raghuram Rajan to improve Asia’s No. 3 economy.

Policy makers are putting in place the right measures to address inflation and increase investment, Moody’s said.

“Recent measures to address inflation, keep external balances in check, simplify the regulatory regime for investors, increase foreign direct investment, and facilitate infrastructure development will reduce some of India’s sovereign credit constraints,” Moody’s said. “The ability of policy makers to strengthen India’s sovereign credit profile to a level consistent with a higher rating will become apparent over the next 12-18 months.”

“The Baa3 rating incorporates the risk that higher levels of growth and infrastructure development will be accompanied by higher leverage,” it said. “Sovereign credit improvements over the next 12-18 months will depend on the extent to which growth, policies and buffers can contain the risks associated with rising leverage.”

Meanwhile, forex reserves increased by more than $1 billion in the week ended March 27 to $341.4 billion, according to data released by RBI. The reserves are closing the financial year at a record high, having breached the previous record of $320 billion in February this year.

In 2014-15, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) invested $44.83 billion in equity and debt. Of this, $17.89 billion was invested in equity and $26.93 billion in debt. FII investment rose more than four-and-a-half times compared with $9.76 billion in 2013-14.

 

Comments

 

Other News

V. M. Tarkunde: A legal luminary par excellence

14 Lawyers: Portraits from The Bar By Raju Ramachandran  Juggernaut, 248 pages, Rs. 799  

The Cost of Obesity

The latest episode of Checks and Balances focuses on the ticking time bomb of obesity in India, and Geetanjali Minhas of Governance Now spoke with a panel of experts. You can watch the episode here: https://youtu.be/mH

US-Iran deal: Path to peace or prelude to deeper regional quagmire?

In the midst of deep mistrust, the US and Iran are reported to have reached a framework deal for ending the West Asian conflict. But whether it will result in any meaningful breakthrough or pave the way for any lasting peace in the region, is in the realm of speculation.   During

Lived life, philosophy, spirituality and other enigmas

The Ashes Are Warm: Memories of a Lifetime Spent with UG Krishnamurti By Mahesh Bhatt and Sunita Pant Bansal Rupa Publications, 384 pages, Rs 495  

In Varanasi, fringe expansion vs. core heritage

For centuries, the urban framework of Varanasi was defined not just by its relationship with the sacred Ganga but by its multifaceted network of urban commons. Historic kunds, seasonal talabs (ponds), and open maidans served as the city’s basic ecological infrastructure. Th

What ails India`s skill development ecosystem

India’s skill development programmes were designed with a goal to make the young population ready with market-required skills and competencies, and to provide them with better employment opportunities. Yet the outcomes have fallen short of that goal: though over 1.6 crore individuals were trained acr





Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter