Why the next census can be a strategic compass for smarter policy

More than a headcount, the census is a reflection of who we are, where we live, how we live—and who gets left behind

Payal Seth and Samriddhi Prakash | June 30, 2025


#Society   #Economy   #Policy   #Census  
The last census exercise took place in 2011. In this file photo, the Registrar General & Census Commissioner, Dr. C. Chandramouli and Additional Registrar General, RC Sethi present the Report of Census-2011 to the then Oresident, Pratibha Devisingh Patil on April 9, 2011.
The last census exercise took place in 2011. In this file photo, the Registrar General & Census Commissioner, Dr. C. Chandramouli and Additional Registrar General, RC Sethi present the Report of Census-2011 to the then Oresident, Pratibha Devisingh Patil on April 9, 2011.

India’s most important data exercise, the decennial census, is finally inching closer after an unprecedented delay. With enumeration now scheduled between 2026 and 2027, this will be the country’s first census in over 15 years. The last such exercise took place in 2011, before smartphones became widespread, before Aadhaar reached critical mass, and before schemes like Ujjwala, Jal Jeevan, or Swachh Bharat took root. In a rapidly transforming India, relying on 2011 data to drive 2024 policy was inefficient.

The upcoming census is not a mere administrative formality. It is a strategic opportunity to reboot the data infrastructure that underpins everything from food entitlements to parliamentary representation. More than a headcount, the census is a reflection of who we are, where we live, how we live—and who gets left behind. Its promise lies not only in collecting better data, but also in how that data is disaggregated and deployed for smarter, fairer policymaking.

Why the census matters
For those working in policy and strategic planning, the census offers critical insights into the demographics of the people we aim to serve, whether through policies or business plans. For the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), which conducts the census, it serves as the foundational framework for all subsequent surveys. Every official survey conducted between 2011 and 2025 has been based on the 2011 Census or derivatives of it. The new census will update this base, ensuring all future surveys are more representative and reflective of current realities.

Importantly, the census provides the statistical backbone for political redistricting. With delimitation scheduled after the census, this data will influence how parliamentary and assembly seats are allocated across states. It may also affect the distribution of central grants to states and districts, most of which are population-linked. Moreover, it will provide a vital understanding of demographic shifts over the past 15+ years.

The census will also inform the rollout of the long-awaited Women’s Reservation Bill, which mandates reserving one-third of parliamentary and legislative assembly seats for women. This bill cannot be implemented until after a new delimitation based on updated census data—making the exercise central to both representation and gender justice.

What makes this census different?
To illustrate the scale of change, consider the following comparison between the 2011 Census and the upcoming 2026–27 Census:



A digital census, a new approach
The 2026–27 Census will unfold in two broad phases: the House Listing Phase and the Population Enumeration Phase.

•    House Listing Phase (2026): Every structure in the country will be visited to record housing-related details, providing a comprehensive profile of the housing stock in India.

•    Population Enumeration Phase (2027): Enumerators will capture individual-level socio-economic and demographic information.

This will be India’s first digital census. Enumerators will use mobile apps loaded with standardised forms and dropdown menus to record data. Self-enumeration options will be available for the tech-savvy, reducing the risk of error or exclusion. Real-time data monitoring will enhance data quality and speed up dissemination.

The implications are significant. Ministries tasked with healthcare, education, and infrastructure can move from using averages to designing interventions based on actual, granular data—be it by age, gender, caste, or digital access. Urban planning, particularly for migration-heavy cities, can be reoriented based on up-to-date, household-level data. From school allocations to sanitation systems, decisions will finally rest on facts, not assumptions.

A moment of opportunity
However, the success of this exercise depends entirely on execution. A decade of policy drift cannot be corrected without strong safeguards. Privacy concerns are real, especially given the granularity of the data. Legal protections must be in place to ensure this information is used solely for public good—not for profiling or exclusion. Transparency in how data is analysed and shared will be critical for public trust. Open access to anonymised datasets and independent oversight mechanisms can help ensure this.

India’s upcoming census could be the launchpad for a new era of evidence-based policymaking. In a world overflowing with big data, the ability to collect and responsibly use foundational statistics about its own people will determine whether India’s democracy becomes more inclusive, or merely better counted.

Payal Seth is Associate Fellow, and Samriddhi Prakash is Research Associate, with Pahle India Foundation.

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