Base effect caus eof food inflation: Ahluwalia

However, CEA had earlier said that their was little difference in food index between May this year nd last year November

PTI | June 16, 2010



Food inflation may see a further increase in the weeks to come, but that is no reason for alarm as the rise is more a result of low base effect, Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said today.

As of May 29, food inflation stood at 16.74 per cent.

"It is quite possible when the data comes out on Thursday, you may see a little increase in food inflation. That is not the reason to worry. As you see the weeks go by, food inflation would come down again," Ahluwalia said here.

Ahluwalia attributed this possibility of low base last year, which means inflation at this time last year was quite low, which may make even a nominal price rise now look higher.

"That is because this time last year, food index had actually fallen and then it began to rise very sharply," he said.

Prices of edibles had started rising last year, after food production was hit by poor monsoon that accounts for 80 per cent of the annual rains the country receives.

Nearly 60 per cent of area under cultivation is rain fed.

After peaking at over 20 per cent in December, food inflation has fallen to 16 per cent level, but has been the main reason behind overall high wholesale prices-based inflation -- which entered double digit in May.

Ahluwalia said key to lower food inflation is a sensible fiscal and macro policy and a good harvest.

Earlier this week, chief economic advisor Kaushik Basu had said food inflation has petered out. Food inflation remains at elevated level because inflation is calculated on yearly basis. Otherwise, food index is only marginally higher in May than in November, he had said.

To a separate question, Ahluwalia said the government's borrowing programme would not be affected due to liquidity crunch fuelled by debt raised by telecom companies for telecom licences, besides payment of advance tax.

The government plans to borrow Rs 4.57 lakh crore this fiscal. The system is facing liquidity shortage due to over Rs 67,000 crore outgo towards payments for spectrum for 3G mobile services and another Rs 38,000 crore is due to payment towards spectrum for broadband wireless spectrum.

Besides, corporates have been paying advance taxes for the first quarter this fiscal.

Ahluwalia said fiscal deficit will be very much in control. "I think with the good monsoon, which is very much on the cards, we are going to have fiscal deficit very much under control."

Fiscal deficit is projected to come down to 5 per cent of GDP this fiscal compared to 6.6 per cent of GDP, helped by revenue mop up from 3G telecom and broadband licence auction.

Fiscal deficit figures went awry after the government provided stimulus to the economy by cutting taxes and upping public expenditure since December 2008.

Against the targeted level of three per cent in the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act, fiscal deficit doubled to over 6 per cent during 2008-09.

Comments

 

Other News

Counting matters but which ones?

The first instinct of public policy is to count. Its harder task is to count what counts. We have become remarkably good at measuring the reach of the welfare state vis-à-vis beneficiaries covered, rupees transferred, houses built, connections installed and services delivered. But some of the most

Inching closer to a trade deal with America

The cooperation between India and the United States goes back quite a time. We need to relegate that era to the backburner when Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru visited US in the times of president Dwight Eisenhower and called the American let-off of 10 million dollars in defence aid to Pakistan as a “gun w

Manch vs Musk: Forty people and a foreign billionaire

About forty people walked the roundabout on Teen Murti Marg to the gate of Chanakyapuri police station, a distance you could cover in under a minute, on Friday to protest against Elon Musk’s Starlink. The walk was called by the Swadeshi Jagaran Manch. Nobody joined them on the way, and nobody seeme

Master sculptor recalls the making of the Shankaracharya statue

The Golden Chisel: The Story Behind the Making of Ram Lalla  By Seethalakshmi S. and Rahul Nandan Rupa Publications, 168 pages, Rs 395  

Mumbai’s missing affordable homes

Mumbai’s real estate market keeps growing, yet homeownership remains out of reach for much of its population. Three experts – urban researcher Hussain Indorewala, urban planner Vidyadhar Phatak and developer Kamlesh Thakur of NAREDCO Maharashtra, agree that simply constructing more apartments

Rubio denies US foreknowledge of Starlink restrictions in Ukraine

US secretary of state Marco Rubio has said he was unfamiliar with the Wall Street Journal report suggesting Elon Musk had decided to throttle Starlink services in Ukraine, but rejected claims that Washington had ordered the restrictions to pressure Kyiv.   “There was no

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter