Jaya’s absence could mean Advantage BJP in Tamil Nadu

With AIADMK supremo unable to get back to active electoral politics unless a higher court clears her, and the DMK in no shape to revive itself, political observers say BJP might emerge as an alternative in next assembly elections

shivani

Shivani Chaturvedi | October 1, 2014 | Chennai


Narendra Modi and J Jayalalithaa: Can BJP use space vacated by the former Tamil Nadu CM`s absence to its advantage in the southern state?
Narendra Modi and J Jayalalithaa: Can BJP use space vacated by the former Tamil Nadu CM`s absence to its advantage in the southern state?

Electoral battles in Tamil Nadu have mostly thrown up decisive results. Considering the trend since 1967, it has been either of the two Dravida parties – the DMK or the AIADMK – coming to power.

But with former chief minister and AIADMK supremo J Jayalalithaa out of electoral politics and looking at the possibility of a four-year jail term (the Karnataka HC on October 1 postponed the bail hearing till October 7; read our article here), there can be a departure from this trend in the next assembly elections scheduled for 2016, say political observers in Chennai.

“People vote for AIADMK or DMK since they do not have an alternative (with the Congress a spent force in the state). But there is now the scope for BJP to make an impact in Tamil Nadu,” said a city-based analyst. “The BJP by itself, or in coalition with other smaller parties, can emerge as an alternative force. Since Jayalalithaa has been disqualified as an MLA and she might not be cleared of all the charges before the elections, the saffron party may get more support and spread its wings here.”

Emphasising that the BJP wants to present itself as “an alternative party” in a state where its influence has been minimal till date, senior BJP leader from Tamil Nadu L Ganesan told Governance Now: “We are working to grow BJP in the state. But at this juncture, planning for growth would leave a bad taste (in people’s mouth) and we are not people who fish in troubled waters.”

He also expressed his sympathy towards AIADMK workers. 

ALSO READ: With Jaya in jail, babus fear pending files will drown TN administration

But those watching the political scene say if Jayalalithaa gets bail she can manage the entire administration from her Poes Garden residence in Chennai, or from her home in Nilgiri mountains, or the palatial bungalow at OMR (Old Mahabalipuram Road).

Earlier, in 2001, when Jayalalithaa was unseated for a few weeks in another criminal case and O Panneerselvam had taken charge as chief minister till her return to office, she worked from her Poes Garden residence. So what makes things different this time? Political observers say all this will go on till 2016 this time, which is a long period. And so long as the courts do not stay the conviction itself, Jayalalithaa will be disqualified from holding any elected office for a period of at least 10 years – for the course of her four-year prison term and an additional period of six years.

The question here is when people know she won’t return to active politics for such a long period, will people vote for Panneerselvam, the proxy chief minister, or any other face from AIADMK? The chances of DMK returning to power are also unlikely and that was proven during the Lok Sabha elections too, said another political observer.

A Bangalore court on Saturday handed Jayalalithaa a four-year jail term and Rs 100 crore penalty for amassing assets disproportionate to her known sources of income. The case was filed by Subramanian Swamy, now with the BJP, in 1997 regarding accumulation of assets worth Rs 66 crore during her first tenure as Tamil Nadu chief minister from 1991 to 1996 (read: Tamil Nadu tense as Jayalalithaa gets 4-yr jail, Rs 100-cr penalty in DA case)

 

Comments

 

Other News

How three organisations came together to serve 9,000 cancer patients annually

There were many preventable cancer deaths in 2020 due to lack of medical care and access as the Covid-19 pandemic has shifted the entire attention from these chronic ailments to itself. A patient named Javed Khan, struggling with cancer and on chemotherapy, contracted Covid and he could not get underlying

Why Ayurveda needs a new apex body

Ayurveda: The True Way to Restore Your Health and Happiness By Dr. G. G. Gangadharan Ebury/Penguin, 224 pages, Rs 299 Dr G.G. Gangadharan, a champion of Ayurveda for three and a half decades, has penned an introductory book on India’s ancient

‘Extend Mumbai Model post-pandemic to improve civic services’

The ‘Mumbai Model’, which helped the city beat Covid-19, came in for praise from the supreme court too. The BMC can now extend that model of decentralisation for more efficiency in day-to-day citizen services and to make Mumbai a better-managed and future-ready city, says the Praja Foundation.

“No ratings certainly better than bad ratings”

Though there is no weekly viewership data for individual news channels coming since mid-October 2020, after allegations of manipulation of television rating points (TRPs) by three news channels, percentage of viewers watching news across the world doubled during lockdown. According to Avinash Pandey, CEO,

Delhi plans implement ‘Mumbai Model’ soon

A team of the Delhi government’s health department has visited Mumbai to learn from the city’s officials how to battle Covid-19 more efficiently, following the supreme court’s advice last month that the capital should learn from the ‘Mumbai model’ that has successfully control

Why India’s ranking on Happiness Index has been falling

The World Happiness Report, one of the best tools for evaluating global happiness, is based on how ecstatic people perceive themselves to be. It considers six characteristics to rank countries on overall happiness: GDP per capita, social support, life expectancy, freedom to make choices, generosity, and pe

Visionary Talk with Avinash Pandey, CEO ABP News Network on News Broadcast - Issues & Its Future



Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook    Twitter    Google Plus    Linkedin    Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter