Modi tsunami limits majority parties to single-digit score

Only seven parties other than BJP to cross the double digit mark

shubhendu

Shubhendu Parth | May 16, 2014



The 'Modi Tsunami' seems to have inundated majority of the political parties, including the national parties. Going by the declared results and the trends of those leading till 5:00 pm, only five parties including the Congress look like making it home with double-digit tally in the Lok Sabha.

While the Congress is expected to garner just 48 seats—it’s all time low, ADMK is headed towards securing seven percent or 38 seats. It is closely followed by Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress that is expected to close its tally with 34 seats (6 percent), Naveen Patnaik-led Biju Janata Dal with 17 seats (3 percent) and K. Chandrashekar Rao’s Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) with 13 seats (2 percent).

The trend also seems to push the Congress away from making it as the principal opposition party in the 15th Lok Sabha since it is heading towards winning only 9 percent of the seats. Official opposition is a term used to designate the political party which has secured the largest number of seats in the parliament but is not a part of the ruling party or coalition. However, a party can be accorded the status of an opposition party only if it secures at least 10 percent of the seats.

Other national parties too have been marginalised with just single digit seat share to boast of. While the Communist Party of India is likely to with one seat, the Communist Party of India (Marxist) is leading in nine seats and Sharad Pawar-led Nationalist Congress Party is leading on six seats. And while the debutant Aam Aadmi Party is looking at winning four seats, Samajvadi Party is expected to win only five seats. The Bahujan Samaj Party, despite 4.4 percent vote share seems to have completely lost the battle of ballot this time with a possible score of zero.

On the other hand the NDA partner Telugu Desam is looking at closing the day with 16 seats, the Shiv Sena is also moving towards garnering 18 seats. One of the biggest beneficiaries of the Modi wave has been the Ram Vilas Paswan-led Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) which is inching towards a six-seat tally.

In terms of vote share BJP with 32.3 percent is leading the chart followed by Congress with 20.1 percent, Trinamool Congress with 4.1 percent, Samajvadi Party with 3.6 percent and CPM with 3.5 percent. While ADMK has so far garnered 2.8 percent vote share, AAP has done better than majority of the parties with 2.2 percent share.

NOTA with 1.1 percent or 53,15,115 vote too seems to have finally arrived in the Indian electorate space much above the TRS, BJD, JD(U), CPI, JD(S), SAD, INLD, AIUDF, RSP, DMDK, LJP and CPI (ML).

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