Petrol prices fuel inflation

At 10.55 pc in June, fuel prices up pressure on RBI to raise key interest rate

PTI | July 14, 2010



Spurred by an increase in oil prices, the overall inflation continued its double-digit run for the fourth straight month in a row at 10.55 per cent in June, mounting pressure on RBI to raise key interest rates in its July policy review.

The wholesale price-based inflation, which was above 11 per cent in March and April, inched up by 0.39 percentage points in June.

It was in the negative at 1.01 per cent in June 2009, government data showed.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, however, exuded confidence that inflation would fall to 5-6 per cent by the year-end with the advent of kharif crop in the market

"It (Inflation) is hovering around double digit. After Kharif season is over there will be a moderating impact which is already being felt," he said.

To combat inflation, the RBI had raised policy rates thrice this year and experts peg another 25 basis points hike in its scheduled monetary policy review on July 27.

"July figures would be slightly higher. The RBI may raise policy rates by another 25 basis points. Post July, we could see some dip in inflation as the base effect starts waning," PMEAC member Govinda Rao said.

The double digit inflation in June could be partly attributed to low base in the year-ago period when the inflation was in the negative, which means even a small increase would seem large.

Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla said, "Inflation is almost as it was. This kind of minor ups and downs is something on which one cannot comment."

Economists expect prices to cool from August as the base effect impact starts fading.

"Food prices are gradually softening. July figures will be high as the full impact of fuel price hike would be passed through," Rao said.

The government on June 25 had hiked petrol prices by Rs 3.5 a litre while deregulating its pricing, and diesel by Rs 2 a litre. Besides, it raised prices of LPG (cooking gas) by Rs 35 a cylinder and kerosene by Rs 3 a litre.

The country's chief economic adviser Kaushik Basu had last month said that he expects the hike in fuel prices to lead to one percentage point rise in inflation.

"We expect WPI inflation to remain above 10 per cent until July and above 8 per cent until October. Anchoring inflation expectations is likely to remain a key policy concern for the RBI," Barclays said in a research note.

In June, the fuel index rose by 1.7 per cent, due to higher prices of kerosene (9 per cent), electricity (4 per cent), petrol (2 per cent) and liquefied petroleum gas (3 per cent).

Food prices rose marginally by 0.20 per cent in June as prices of cereals, rice and wheat declined on a month-on-month basis.

Among manufactured items, wood products prices rose by 5.4 per cent due to higher rates of plywood commercial planks.
 

Comments

 

Other News

Climate change, El Niño rewrite Indian monsoon

The month of July exceeded its rainfall target despite forecasts of a below-normal month under a strengthening El Niño. The reason could be that climate change is amplifying monsoon complexity: West Pacific warming, Western Disturbances and evolving ocean conditions increasingly interact with El Ni&

Mumbai has just 1.28 sq.m. of open space per person: Study

Mumbai`s public space crisis is as much about mismanagement as it is about scarcity, and offers a governance roadmap that can be implemented without new legislation, according to a new report by the Urban Design Research Institute (UDRI) and the NGO Alliance for Governance and Renewal (NAGAR).  

Lok Sabha passes amendment bill to improve public examination system

The Lok Sabha on Wednesday passed the Public Examinations (Prevention of Unfair Means) Amendment Bill, 2026 by a voice vote after an extensive discussion. Replying to the debate, minister of state (independent charge) for science & technology; earth sciences and MoS in the PMO, Dr. Jite

Shri Abhijit Phukon (IES, 2004) appointed as Joint Secretary, Department of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare.

 Shri Abhijit Phukon (IES: 2004) has been appointed as Joint Secretary, Department of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, Government of India. His appointment, approved by the

Shri Avanish Kumar Mishra (ISS, 2000) appointed as Joint Secretary, Department of Administrative Reforms & Public Grievances.

 Shri Avanish Kumar Mishra (ISS: 2000) has been appointed as Joint Secretary, Department of Administrative Reforms & Public Grievances (DARPG), Government of India. The appointment, approved by the Appointments

Millets are thriving. Are millet farmers?

The story of millets is nothing short of extraordinary. Once seen as the food of the poor and downtrodden, they are now seen as the food of the health conscious and the elite. Today, these nutri-cereals occupy prominent shelves in premium supermarkets, feature on the menus of gourmet restaurants, and are e

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter