Govt to revise growth forecast next week

The new growth projection will be released on December 7

trithesh

Trithesh Nandan | December 2, 2010



The government is going to revise its estimation of economic growth next week, egged by a strong performance in the first two quarters of FY'10.

“We had earlier given projection of 8.5 percent. We will revise it. We are in middle of calculation. It is very likely that it will be revised upwardly,” chief economic adviser to the finance ministry, Kaushik Basu said in New Delhi on Thursday.

However, Basu avoided mentioning a probable figure, saying, “I can’t give you the number right now. There are people working on it. Government will give its projection on December 7.”

But as has been hinted by the chief economic adviser, it is likely that the revised estimate will peg the Indian economy to grow at 9 percent in the current fiscal. “It is not impossible any more. We are very close to that,” Basu told reporters.

If the growth is projected at 9 percent, it will be closer to what International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted in October this year in a revised estimation. “The International Monetary Fund has revised its growth forecast for India in FY '10, raising it to 9.7 percent from the July figure of 9.5 pc,” the IMF had said in October.

“We in the ministry of finance always had disagreed with them on this point, because the IMF projected higher growth then us, but now we are in position to revise it,” Basu said.

In fact, in September, Manila-based Asian Development Bank (ADB) had also revised India’s growth at 8.5 percent for FY’10 but cautioned that high inflation could undermine the strong growth.

But Basu is expecting inflation to ease further. It is due for release on December 14.

Comments

 

Other News

Who checks the books?

I read about the news about the Coimbatore library over coffee this morning. On the face of it, the headline was about a political ‘war’ between the DMK and TVK. But what stayed with me was something much more important than the blame game behind what had transpired. A writer walking through

Development paradox: Falling poverty miracle and an inequality problem

India’s reduction in poverty over the past decade is a development achievement of considerable significance. The World Bank’s April 2026 ‘India Development Update’ estimates that the share of Indians living below the international extreme-poverty line of $3.00 per person per day i

In Arunachal, a river we call mother

In Arunachal Pradesh, the Siang is not just a river. For many of us, especially the Adi people, it is part of our family. Our grandparents fished in it. Children learned to swim in it. Our farms drink from it. When someone says a huge dam will be built on it, we do not hear the word "project".

A new retelling of the Mahabharata delves into key moments

In a time when every decision carries consequences and questions of ambition, power, loyalty, identity and moral choice continue to shape our lives, Dr. Arun Krishnan’s new book, ‘Mahakshana’ (Penguin India) offers a strikingly relevant retelling of the Mahabharata.  

Cabinet approves viability gap funding to develop grid-scale energy storage systems

The Union Cabinet, chaired by PM Narendra Modi, has approved the Viability Gap Funding (VGF) Scheme for Development of Grid-Scale Energy Storage Systems, with a total financial support of Rs.14,500 crore for the period FY 2026-27 to FY 2030-31. The scheme aims to support the development o

Cabinet creates a pathway to absorb Agniveers in Defence Forces

An objective assessment in terms of organisational requirements and operational efficiency has brought out the outstanding performance of Agniveers in terms of skills, motivation levels, physical fitness and technological prowess. As envisaged earlier, based on merit, 25% of Agniveers will be offered reg

Upcoming Conferences



-->

Archives

Current Issue

Opinion

Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Subscribe Newsletter

Twitter